The Ageing Political Syndrome in Developing Countries

This paper reviews critically the so called ‘ageing political syndrome’ in the context of developing countries, and focuses on the case of sub-Saharan Africa. It examines the structural, institutional and sociocultural processes that allow political elites to hold onto their position of executive power long after their “normal” retirement age, even though the region has a young population. According to the study, modern African gerontocracy is not just a cultural inheritance, but an intentionally engineered political system that is maintained through constitutional trickery, patronage systems, exclusionary measures, and blocking generational changes. It shows how the systematic violation of term limits, the use of pre-colonial wisdom to justify the authority of elderly leaders and the incorporation of younger elites in unconditioned patronage networks all hinder the consolidation of democracy in the context of the case studies presented here, in Cameroon, Nigeria and within West Africa in general. The analysis shows how this syndrome creates cascading effects: erosion of democracy and decay of institutions, intergenerational conflict, and marginalization of young people, policy paralysis and developmental stagnation, and the personalization of state institutions around ageing incumbents. The paper argues that the significant difference between Africa’s youth population (with a median age of around nineteen) and the old age of the political leadership is a governance issue that jeopardizes innovation, accountability and legitimacy of the state. The study recognizes that the underlying causes of the above weaknesses lie not just in biological age but also in the institutional strengths and weaknesses and authoritarian political culture, but also points to the need for robust constitutional mechanisms, judicial independence, and institutionalized processes for generational leadership transition in order to realize sustainable democratic governance. If these changes do not take place, Africa’s demographic dividend will continue to be undermined by political economies of stagnation perpetuated by the gerontocratic elites who hold power in these nations.

Keywords: gerontocracy, political ageing, power retention, constitutional manipulation, Africa, authoritarianism, democratic backsliding.